latter's specification in differences. In this paper we examine the forecasting performance of the FECM by means of an … generally offers a higher forecasting precision and in general marks a very useful step forward for forecasting with large …

expectations and long-term interest rates to a same-sized monetary policy shock has decreased since the early-1980s. …

for forecasting GDP growth at short-term horizons in the euro area. We discuss three sets of empirical results. First we … forecast revisions. Third we design a pseudo out of sample forecasting exercise and examine point and density forecast accuracy …