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The Emergence of the Euro as an International Currency

Alogoskoufis, George; Portes, Richard; Rey, Hélène - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1997

*The European Union will enter Stage Three of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) in 1999. The development of euro … financial markets and thickness externalities in the use of the euro as means of payment will be the major factors determining … the importance of the euro as an international currency. As euro securities markets become deeper and more liquid and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662175

Random Walk Expectations and the Forward Discount Puzzle

Bacchetta, Philippe; van Wincoop, Eric - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2007

Two well-known, but seemingly contradictory, features of exchange rates are that they are close to a random walk while at the same time exchange rate changes are predictable by interest rate differentials. In this paper we investigate whether these two features of the data may in fact be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789185

The Determinants of Cross-Border Equity Flows

Portes, Richard; Rey, Hélène - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1999

We apply a new approach to a new panel data set on bilateral gross cross-border equity flows between 14 countries, 1989-96. The remarkably good results have strong implications for theories of asset trade. We find that the geography of information heavily determines the pattern of international...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067617

Higher Order Expectations in Asset Pricing

Bacchetta, Philippe; van Wincoop, Eric - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2008

We examine formally Keynes' idea that higher order beliefs can drive a wedge between an asset price and its fundamental value based on expected future payoffs. Higher order expectations add an additional term to a standard asset pricing equation. We call this the higher order wedge, which...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792436

Rational Inattention: A Solution to the Forward Discount Puzzle

Bacchetta, Philippe; van Wincoop, Eric - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2005

The uncovered interest rate parity equation is the cornerstone of most models in international macro. However, this equation does not hold empirically since the forward discount, or interest rate differential, is negatively related to the subsequent change in the exchange rate. This forward...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124040

Sovereign CDS and Bond Pricing Dynamics in the Euro-area

Palladini, Giorgia; Portes, Richard - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011

six Euro-area countries over the period 2004-2011. As a first step, the supposed non stationarity of the two series is …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365646

Finance, Trade and Development: Issues in Transatlantic Cooperation

Portes, Richard - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1986

Despite current economic problems and conflicts - or perhaps as their cause - the concordance of policies among the major industrial countries in the first half of the 1980s in dealing with finance, trade and development is at a peak. This has been the result not so much of cooperation or...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666448

Sudden Spikes in Global Risk

Bacchetta, Philippe; van Wincoop, Eric - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2012

Recent episodes (October 2008, May 2010, August 2011) have witnessed huge spikes in equity price risk (implied volatility). Apart from their large size, several features characterize these risk panics. They are global phenomena, shared among a broad set of countries. There is substantial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084461

Global Financial Markets and Financial Stability: Europe's Role

Portes, Richard - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1999

interaction between globalisation and regional integration. This paper discusses the internationalisation of the euro and draws …Europe's contribution to the international financial system is a new currency, the euro. Economic and Monetary Union in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666555

Optimal Currency Shares in International Reserves: The Impact of the Euro and the Prospects for the Dollar

Papaioannou, Elias; Portes, Richard; Siourounis, Gregorios - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2006

Foreign exchange reserve accumulation has risen dramatically in recent years. The introduction of the euro, greater … currencies. Making various assumptions on expected currency returns and the variance-covariance structure, we assess how the euro …-free) currency. (ii) The optimum portfolios show a much lower weight for the euro than is observed. This suggests that the euro may …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791662