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This paper studies the role of detrended wealth in predicting stock returns. We call a transitory movement in wealth … we find that these trend deviations in wealth are strong predictors of both real stock returns and excess returns over a …. Why should wealth, detrended in this way, forecast asset returns? We show that a wide class of optimal models of consumer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123769
Changes in credit market architecture are an important but unobservable structural influence on economic activity. For Australian data, we model non-price credit supply conditions within equilibrium correction models of consumption, house prices, mortgage credit and housing equity withdrawal....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371480
In this paper we examine the link between wage inequality and consumption inequality using a life cycle model that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084379