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reduce the budget deficit and lower the underlying rate of inflation. The paper develops an input-output model to investigate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497844
Previous time-series studies have shown evidence of mean-reversion in real exchange rates. Deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP) appear to have half-lives of approximately four years. The long samples required for statistical significance are unavailable for most currencies, however, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498061
fixes, a reasonably durable regime. However, most of the new stability is due to countries that float with an inflation … target. Though a few have left to join the Eurozone, no country has yet abandoned an inflation targeting regime under duress …. Inflation targeting now represents a serious alternative to a hard exchange rate fix for small economies seeking monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083734
This paper surveys the evidence on the effectiveness of monetary transmission in developing countries. We summarize the arguments for expecting the bank lending channel to be the dominant means of monetary transmission in such countries, and present a simple model that suggests why this channel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322980
The aim of this paper is to provide evidence of structural breaks in the exchange rates of European transition economies. The Vogelsang (1997) testing procedure is used. The technique allows for the detection of a break at an unknown date in the trend function of a dynamic univariate time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124398
which exchange rate sensitive collateral constraints may bind in some states of the world. The appeal of the model is that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124435
Korea has adopted much of the apparatus of inflation targeting, with a band for target inflation and a Monetary Policy … trade and investment as Korea, currency movements contain information useful for forecasting inflation and the output gap … information relevant for the inflation forecast. In addition, the central bank responds to movements in the exchange rate for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136674
This Paper reviews the controversy over China’s exchange rate regime. Placing the issue in the context of the literature on exit strategies, it argues that now is the best time for China to exit from its peg. Moving to a managed float would be in the country’s own interest; it would help the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067647
policymaker to deviate from strict domestic price stability. With both consumption and production openness variations in the world … price of food and in the world price of imported oil act as exogenous cost-push factors. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083335
This paper reviews the monetary transmission mechanism in low income countries (LICs). We use monetary transmission in advanced and emerging markets as a benchmark to identify aspects of the transmission mechanism that may operate differently in LICs. In particular, we focus on the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008466328