welfare. Key parameters of demand and supply are estimated for leather footwear exports from Taiwan subject to the USA Orderly …

The paper studies risk mitigation associated with capital regulation, in a context where banks may choose tail risk … assets. We show that this undermines the traditional result that higher capital reduces excess risk-taking driven by limited … liability. Moreover, higher capital may have an unintended e¤ect of enabling banks to take more tail risk without the fear of …

assess and price the risk of default. In order to analyse default risk in the macroeconomy, a simple general equilibrium … model with banks and financial intermediation is constructed in which default-risk can be priced. It is shown how the credit … spread can be attributed largely to the risk of default and how excess loan creation may emerge due different attitudes to …

to these scenarios affect the upside and downside risks embodied in the baseline real-time oil price forecast. Such risk …