Showing 1 - 10 of 43
The paper studies risk mitigation associated with capital regulation, in a context where banks may choose tail risk … assets. We show that this undermines the traditional result that higher capital reduces excess risk-taking driven by limited … liability. Moreover, higher capital may have an unintended e¤ect of enabling banks to take more tail risk without the fear of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009246611
assess and price the risk of default. In order to analyse default risk in the macroeconomy, a simple general equilibrium … model with banks and financial intermediation is constructed in which default-risk can be priced. It is shown how the credit … spread can be attributed largely to the risk of default and how excess loan creation may emerge due different attitudes to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293986
to these scenarios affect the upside and downside risks embodied in the baseline real-time oil price forecast. Such risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009385759
The paper analyses and compares the role that the tightening in liquidity conditions and the collapse in risk appetite … shocks have had a more severe impact on advanced economies, it was mainly the decline in risk appetite that affected emerging … within types of economies, with Europe being more adversely affected by the fall in risk appetite than other advanced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692308
finds that common shocks--key crisis events as well as changes to global liquidity and risk--have exerted a large effect on … risk and the strength of domestic macroeconomic fundamentals. Comparing and quantifying these effects shows that common …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009207523
Conventional wisdom views stocks as less volatile over long horizons than over short horizons due to mean reversion induced by return predictability. In contrast, we find stocks are substantially more volatile over long horizons from an investor's perspective. This perspective recognizes that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662327
An unfunded Social Security system faces a major risk, sometimes referred to as ‘political risk’. In order to account … properly for this risk, the paper considers a political process in which the support to the system is asked from each newborn …-generational redistribution, risk aversion, financial markets, governmental debt- on the political sustainability of a pay-as-you-go system is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666926
both create and share the risk associated with exchange rate volatility. In such circumstances, monetary policy can be used …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666966
In this paper, we study the determinants of the value of informal risk sharing groups. In particular, we look at the … if individuals can deviate form risk sharing agreements in coalitions or not. We test empirically several predictable … size of risk sharing groups can be rejected or that only imperfect risk sharing is obtained within the village because of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791230
Motivated by policy statements of central bankers, we propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims … of risk management that may be used to quantify the risks of failing to attain that objective. Risk measures inherently … assumption of quadratic symmetric preferences, while being congruent with a risk management model. We show how the parameters of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791846