Showing 1 - 10 of 81
We use variation in oil output among Brazilian municipalities to investigate the effects of resource windfalls. We find muted effects of oil through market channels: offshore oil has no effect on municipal non-oil GDP or its composition, while onshore oil has only modest effects on non-oil GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008509470
A single variable describes, day-by-day, what investors think about the state of Brazil's economy: the Brazilian … markets' assessment of the probability that Brazil might default on its debt obligations. This is mainly because the cost of … domestic interest rates, is thus the necessary first step in order to understand macroeconomic developments in Brazil. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123784
King-Fullerton methodology cannot assess the minimum-asset tax (MAT) because it cannot handle uncertainty. We present an alternative based on option pricing, and show how carry-over rules, depreciation conventions and uncertainty affect the MAT burden. Using Brazilian data, we show that: (a)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498170
We use changes in Brazil’s tax on capital inflows from 2006 to 2011 to test for direct portfolio effects and …. We find that an increase in Brazil’s tax on foreign investment in bonds causes investors to significantly decrease their … portfolio allocations to Brazil in both bonds and equities. Investors simultaneously increase allocations to other countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084681
Brazilian debt crisis, and assesses the prospects for Brazil's sovereign debt after five years of the `muddling … 1978 and 1982, Brazil's current account shifted by $13 billion towards deficits. This shift can be explained, for the most … between 1978 and 1982, $35 billion (75% of Brazil's total net debt accumulation) can be accounted for by the adverse external …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662401
household labour income and poverty in Brazil. We first estimate the extent of price transmission from world markets to eleven …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667051
1980’s and 1990’s - Brazil and Colombia - we examine the response of the informal sector to liberalization. In Brazil, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661732
Business cycles reflect changes over time in the amount of trade between individuals. In this paper we show that incorporating explicitly intra-temporal gains from trade between individuals into a macroeconomic model can provide new insight into the potential mechanisms driving economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009221567
This paper develops a theory characterizing the effects of fiscal policy on unemployment over the business cycle. The theory is based on a model of equilibrium unemployment in which jobs are rationed in recessions. Fiscal policy in the form of government spending on public-sector jobs reduces...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324257
Over the past two decades, technological progress in the United States has been biased towards skilled labor. What does this imply for business cycles? We construct a quarterly skill premium from the CPS and use it to identify skill-biased technology shocks in a VAR with long-run restrictions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643505