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The first part of the paper analyzes the inflationary risks associated with price liberalization, the welfare costs of inflation and the difficulties of East European central banks in pursuing non-inflationary policies. The main obstacles are the low credibility of stabilization policies and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123602
Some central banks have a reputation for being secretive. A justification for this behaviour that we find in the literature is that being transparent about operations and beliefs hinders the central bank in achieving the best outcome. In other words, a central bank needs flexibility and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124006
This paper investigates why the slope of the yield curve predicts future economic activity in Germany and the United … spread in that country. However, the main reason for the stronger leading indicator property in Germany is the positive … at lag four in Germany and almost nothing in the United States. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123911
Germany in the EMS and is consistent with the evidence that membership has induced several countries to disinflate more than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791579
Asset price inflation presents central banks with a puzzle. I examine the case of Germany, 1925-7, when the Reichsbank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792124
Pre-reform similarities between the ex-German Democratic Republic and Czechoslovakia serve as a basis for comparing two different approaches to marketizing centrally planned economies. The GDR freed trade in goods and fixed the exchange rate first, then liberalized domestic price setting, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789149
In response to the financial crisis of 2007-2010, many central banks are getting involved in macroprudential supervision. Central bank communication will constitute a central policy tool for that purpose. The paper asks how such communication will affect financial markets, exploiting the fact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692311
The establishment of the European Central Bank (ECB) presents a rare opportunity to define the operations of a central bank with no prior track record. Before the ECB specifies an, as yet undefined, operational target this paper asks what might be learnt from the recent experience of inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136552
Repo auctions are multiunit auctions regularly used by central banks to inject liquidity into the banking sector. Banks have a fundamental need to participate because they have to satisfy reserve requirements. Superficially, repo auctions resemble treasury auctions; the format and rules are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067452
We propose a flexible majority rule for central bank councils where the size of the majority depends monotonically on the change in interest rate within a particular time frame. Small changes in interest rate require a small share of supporting votes, even less than 50%. We show that flexible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067504