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U.S. Monetary Shocks and Global Stock Prices

Laeven, Luc; Tong, Hui - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010

This paper studies how U.S. monetary policy affects global stock prices. We find that global stock prices respond strongly to changes in U.S. interest rate policy, with stock prices increasing (decreasing) following unexpected monetary loosening (tightening). This impact is more pronounced for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692313

Classical time-varying FAVAR models - Estimation, forecasting and structural analysis

Eickmeier, Sandra; Lemke, Wolfgang; Marcellino, Massimiliano - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011

We propose a classical approach to estimate factor-augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) models with time variation in the factor loadings, in the factor dynamics, and in the variance-covariance matrix of innovations. When the time-varying FAVAR is estimated using a large quarterly dataset of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008921778

The Zero-Interest Rate Bound and the Role of the Exchange Rate for Monetary Policy in Japan

Coenen, Günter; Wieland, Volker - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2003

In this Paper we study the role of the exchange rate in conducting monetary policy in an economy with near-zero nominal interest rates as experienced in Japan since the mid-1990s. Our analysis is based on an estimated model of Japan, the United States and the euro area with rational expectations...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788995

Identifying the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Using Structural Breaks

Beyer, Andreas; Farmer, Roger E A - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2003

We propose a method for estimating a subset of the parameters of a structural rational expectations model by exploiting changes in policy. We define a class of models, midway between a vector autoregression and a structural model, that we call the recoverable structure. We provide an application...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124223

Asymmetries in Housing and Financial Market Institutions and EMU

Maclennan, Duncan; Muellbauer, John; Stephens, Mark - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1999

Despite convergence pressures, differences in housing and financial market institutions across the 15 member states of the European Union are still enormous. This paper argues that they have profound effects on the responsiveness of output and inflation in the different countries to changes in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504528

Measuring Monetary Policy with VAR Models: An Evaluation

Bagliano, Fabio-Cesare; Favero, Carlo A. - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1997

transmission mechanism. Lastly, the inclusion of the long-term interest rate in a benchmark VAR delivers a more precise estimation …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114174

Distributional Impact of Commodity Price Shocks: Australia over a Century

Bhattacharyya, Sambit; Williamson, Jeffrey G - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2013

. Using a GARCH model, we find that Australia experienced more volatility than many commodity exporting poor countries between …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084231

Happiness and the Human Development Index: Australia is NOT a Paradox

Leigh, Andrew; Wolfers, Justin - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2006

In 'Happiness and the Human Development Index: The Paradox of Australia,' Blanchflower and Oswald (2005) observe an … apparent puzzle: they claim that Australia ranks highly in the Human Development Index (HDI), but relatively poorly in … happiness. However, when we compare their happiness data with the HDI, Australia appears happier, not sadder, than its HDI score …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136466

Bubbles and Central Banks: Historical Perspectives

Brunnermeier, Markus K; Schnabel, Isabel - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2015

This paper reviews some of the most prominent asset price bubbles from the past 400 years and documents how central banks (or other institutions) reacted to those bubbles. The historical evidence suggests that the emergence of bubbles is often preceded or accompanied by an expansionary monetary...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011249380

Banks Exposure to Interest Rate Risk and The Transmission of Monetary Policy

Landier, Augustin; Sraer, David; Thesmar, David - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2014

We show that banks' cash flow exposure to interest rate risk, or income gap, plays a crucial role in their lending behavior following monetary policy shocks. In a first step, we show that the sensitivity of bank profits to interest rates increases significantly with their income gap, even when...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145414

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