Showing 1 - 10 of 63
I revisit the potential costs and benefits for Sweden of joining the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) of the European Union. I first show that the Swedish business cycle since the mid-1990s has been closely correlated with the Euro area economies, suggesting that common shocks have been an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124237
This paper seeks to integrate more closely the theory of optimum currency areas with the theory of international trade. The currency area is considered as a continuous variable ranging from zero to one: zero if there is no enlargement, and some positive value otherwise, corresponding exactly to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656159
In contrast to the notion that the exchange-rate regime is non-neutral, there is little evidence that EMU has systematically changed the European business cycle. In fact, we find the volatility of macroeconomic variables largely unchanged before and after the introduction of the euro. Exceptions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084347
In this paper we contrast regional and national data on real exchange rate movements, the growth rates of output and employment, labour mobility and unemployment. We find that asymmetric shocks tend to be more prevalent at the regional than at the national level in Europe. The presumption of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789027
This review article discusses the recent document titled `One Market, One Money' in which the European Commission develops its case for European monetary union. After examining the monetary issues, the article focuses on the reasons for the Commission's very worried attitude toward fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791216
What can be learnt from revisiting the Optimal Currency Areas (OCA) theory 50 years from its birth, in light of recent advances in open economy macro and monetary theory? This paper presents a stylized micro-founded model of the costs of adopting a common currency, relative to an ideal benchmark...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791521
This Paper seeks to trace the impact of monetary arrangements on trade integration and business cycle correlation, focusing on Europe in the late 19th century period as a guide for modern debates. For this purpose, we first estimate a gravity model and show that monetary arrangements were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791820
In contrast to conventional analyses of monetary union between two particular countries or sets of countries, this paper treats the possible expansion of a given currency area as a continuous variable ranging from zero to one; zero if there is no expansion and one if all sources of imports and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656388
countries, Hungary, Romania and Slovenia. The data are based on interviews taken in more than 300 state-owned, privatized and … pressure has a positive impact on firm performance in Hungary and Slovenia, but not in Romania, while in Romenia short … (being state-owned and privatized enterprises) tend to perform worse than newly-established firms in Hungary and Slovenia. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498145
This paper tries to assess how costly it would be for the CEECs to peg their exchange rates to the Euro. We use three types of criteria: institutional (the Maastricht criteria); some measure of real convergence; and the Optimal Currency Area criteria. The institutional criteria seem to be an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662339