Countries that have pursued distortionary macroeconomic policies, including high inflation, large budget deficits and … misaligned exchange rates, appear to have suffered more macroeconomic volatility and also grown more slowly during the postwar … more ‘extractive’ institutions from their colonial past were more likely to experience high volatility and economic crises …

the upswing in the credit volatility that kept money supply variability from translating into inflation and GDP volatility. … volatilities away from the downward trending GDP and inflation volatilities. Using an en dogenous growth monetary DSGE model, with … micro-based banking production, enables a contrasting characterization of the two great volatility cycles over the …

Motivated by policy statements of central bankers, we propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims … at containing inflation and the deviation of output from potential within pre-specified bounds. We develop formal tools … of risk management that may be used to quantify the risks of failing to attain that objective. Risk measures inherently …

situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation … within pre-specified bounds. We develop formal tools of risk management that may be used to quantify and forecast the risks … of failing to attain that objective. We illustrate the use of these risk measures in practice. First, we show how to …

both create and share the risk associated with exchange rate volatility. In such circumstances, monetary policy can be used … of noise traders alters the composition of the market and generates excess exchange rate volatility, since noise traders … to lower exchange rate volatility without altering macroeconomic fundamentals. …

commensurate with their risk aversion; more risk-averse individuals pick lower-volatility stocks. The investors' portfolio …The preferred risk habitat hypothesis, introduced here, is that individual investors select stocks with volatilities … consistent with the predictions of the hypothesis: the portfolios contain highly similar stocks in terms of volatility, when …

Some channels through which increased inflation tends to reduce economic growth, and vice versa, are studied within a … potential impact of inflation on: (a) saving through real interest rates (or uncertainty); (b) the income velocity of money; (c …) the government budget deficit through the inflation tax and tax erosion; and (d) efficiency in production through the …

This paper reconsiders the relationship between inflation, economic growth and external debt, and discusses various … channels through which (a) increased inflation tends to reduce growth and raise foreign indebtedness over time and (b …) declining growth tends to amplify both inflation and debt. Based on a simple model of the simultaneous determination of …

What is the relationship between economic growth and its volatility? Does political instability affect growth directly … or indirectly, through volatility? This paper tries to answer such questions using a power-ARCH framework with annual … legislative changes) has an indirect (through volatility) negative impact. We also find preliminary support for the idea that …

.g., cabinet changes) has an indirect (through volatility) impact on growth; (iii) the effect of financial development is positive … and, surprisingly, not via volatility; (iv) the informal instability effects are much larger in the short- than in the …