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Advantage Through Training? A Microeconometric Evaluation of the Employment Effects of Active Labour Market Programmes in Poland
Puhani, Patrick A - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1998
: intervention works prolong unemployment for both genders as do public works for men. The number of observations on women in public …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792494
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The Behaviour of Real Exchange Rates During the Post-Bretton Woods Period
Sarno, Lucio; Taylor, Mark P - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1997
Tests for long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) may lack power with sample periods corresponding to the span of the recent float, leading researchers to use more powerful multivariate unit root tests. We point out a potential problem with such tests: joint non-stationarity of real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791733
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Spurious Correlation in Exchange Rate Target Zone Modelling: Testing the Drift Adjustment Method on the US Dollar, Random Walk and Chaos
Darvas, Zsolt - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1998
The drift-adjustment method estimates the expected rate of depreciation within an exchange rate band by simple equations. Papers applying this method claim that, while forecasting a freely floating currency is hopeless, predicting an exchange rate within the future band is successful. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791773
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Can Severe Fiscal Contractions Be Expansionary? Tales of Two Small European Countries
Giavazzi, Francesco; Pagano, Marco - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1990
exercise in fiscal rectitude of the 1980s and focusing on its two most extreme cases, Denmark and Ireland. We find that at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005281347
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The Exchange Rate - A Shock-Absorber or Source of Shocks? A Study of Four Open Economies
Artis, Michael J; Ehrmann, Michael - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2000
The paper provides SVAR estimates for four open economies: the UK, Canada, Sweden and Denmark, making explicit a … another: monetary union appears easy to recommend for Sweden and Denmark, much less so for Canada and the UK. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789208
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Unemployment and Inflation in Ireland: 1926-2012
Gerlach, Stefan; Lydon, Reamonn; Stuart, Rebecca - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2015
We study the determination of Irish inflation between 1926 and 2012. The difference between unemployment and the NAIRU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272719
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Firm Leverage and Unemployment during the Great Recession
Giroud, Xavier; Mueller, Holger M - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2015
We argue that firms’ balance sheets were instrumental in the propagation of shocks during the Great Recession. Using establishment-level data, we show that firms that tightened their debt capacity in the run-up (“high-leverage firms”) exhibit a significantly larger decline in employment in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011252614
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What Explains the German Labor Market Miracle in the Great Recession?
Burda, Michael C; Hunt, Jennifer - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011
Germany experienced an even deeper fall in GDP in the Great Recession than the United States, with little employment loss. Employers’ reticence to hire in the preceding expansion, associated in part with a lack of confidence it would last, contributed to an employment shortfall equivalent to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009246610
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Returns to Education across Europe
Glocker, Daniela; Steiner, Viktor - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011
the indirect wage effect resulting from lower unemployment risks and shorter spells in unemployment associated with higher … accounting for the effects of unemployment on individual wages using EU-SILC data. Across countries we find a high variation of … the effect of education on unemployment duration. Overall, the returns to education are estimated to be the highest in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293660
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Fiscal Multipliers Over the Business Cycle
Michaillat, Pascal - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011
This paper develops a theory characterizing the effects of fiscal policy on unemployment over the business cycle. The … theory is based on a model of equilibrium unemployment in which jobs are rationed in recessions. Fiscal policy in the form of … government spending on public-sector jobs reduces unemployment, especially during recessions: the fiscal multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324257