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We propose a comprehensive methodology to characterize the business cycle comovements across European economies and some industrialized countries, always trying to ‘let the data speak’. Out of this framework, we propose a novel method to show that there is no ‘Euro economy’ that acts as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124454
This paper analyses the synchronization of business cycles between new and old EU members using various measures. The main findings are that Hungary, Poland and Slovenia have achieved a high degree of synchronization for GDP, industry and exports, but not for consumption and services. The other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792241
We use the method of indirect inference, using the bootstrap, to test the Smets and Wouters model of the EU against a VAR auxiliary equation describing their data; the test is based on the Wald statistic. We find that their model generates excessive variance compared with the data. But their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791817
We look at the role of the financial sector in the context of the relatively backward regions of Southern Italy (the so … considerably riskier than those elsewhere in Italy. It also indicates, however, that risk accounts for only half of the 200 basis … and argue that Southern banks tend to perform their screening function less efficiently than banks in the rest of Italy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123529
is therefore somewhat surprising to observe that Italy, in comparison to the United States, displays less inequality … around the idea that even if in Italy moving up on the social ladder is easier, the incentive to move may be lower, making …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136455
In many countries two decision-making institutions, the government and the central bank, manage fiscal and monetary policy separately. Such decentralization can lead to a change in the optimal inflation-output trade-off. In fact lack of cooperation can result in a change in the position of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005281276
find that in Italy borrowing constraints are more severe than in the United States, and that they are more stringent for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005281355
Exploring the period since the inception of the euro, we show that secondary-market yields on Italian public debt increase in anticipation of auctions of new issues and decrease after the auction, while no or a smaller such effect is present for German public debt. However, these yield movements...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083630
than the overall economy. Behind the dynamics of aggregate trade, Italy’s comparative advantage changed fundamentally over … foreign trade at a high level of disaggregation to document and analyze these changes. We conclude with an assessment of Italy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083644
product and in labour markets, in the determination of sectoral employment growth in Italy during the last forty years (1951 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666840