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In this paper we first propose a proxy for the maturity of a country’s export bundle based on product life cycle theory …. Employing a conditional latent class model, we then examine the effect of maturity of countries’ exports on their economic … faster when they specialize in less mature products in an advanced country regime. The effect of maturity turns insignificant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083276
monetary and fiscal policy we find that the persistence and volatility of inflation depends on the sign, size and maturity … average maturity of government debt. We analyse these relationships under two different institutional settings. In one case … given. We identify the main mechanisms through which inflation is affected by debt and debt maturity (a real balance effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083281
This paper explores the relationship between inflation and the existence of a publicly-traded, long-maturity, nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084572
This paper adds a highly-leveraged financial sector to the Ramsey model of economic growth and shows that this causes the economy to behave in a highly volatile manner: doing this strongly augments the macroeconomic effects of aggregate productivity shocks. Our model is built on the financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322500
Business cycle fluctuations in developed economies (N) tend to have large and persistent effects on developing countries (S). We study the transmission of business cycle fluctuations for developed to developing economies with a two-country asymmetric DSGE model with two features: (i) endogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322501
volatility of revenues, have failed to save a sufficiently high proportion of their resource revenues and failed to make high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009385762
velocity volatility at both business cycle and long run frequencies. With filtered velocity turning negative, starting during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008496458
reveal that higher margins have a much stronger negative relation to subsequent volatility in bull markets than in bear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123642
forward premia on monthly exchange rate returns in a framework that allows for volatility timing. We implement Bayesian … stochastic volatility innovations; and (ii) strategies based on combined forecasts yield large economic gains over the random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123849
Cross-country evidence is presented on resource dependence and the link between volatility and growth. First, growth … depends negatively on volatility of unanticipated output growth independent of initial income per capita, the average … growth. Second, the adverse effect of resources on growth operates primarily through higher volatility. The positive effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123919