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This paper tests a two equation model of supply and demand for labour for 1857-1913, the period which was the focus of the original Phillips curve study. The basic structure is an equilibrium model of the labour market with "classical" characteristics arising from a surprise supply function and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792319
The Calvo contract Phillips Curve is widely indexed for general inflation, using either core inflation or other … that optimal indexation would by contrast use the rational expectation of inflation. If this scheme is implemented, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792519
section, various underpinnings of the "Phillips curve" relation between inflation and output are reviewed. All are concluded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666800
We develop and estimate a structural model of inflation that allows for a fraction of firms that use a backward looking … measures of marginal cost as the relevant determinant of inflation, as the theory suggests, instead of an ad-hoc output gap …. Real marginal costs are a significant and quantitatively important determinant of inflation. Backward looking price setting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791238
inflation and a permanent reduction in the level of unemployment. In short, we derive a microfounded long-run downward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791529
This paper estimates the NAIRU (standing for the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment) as a parameter that … varies over time. The NAIRU is the unemployment rate that is consistent with a constant rate of inflation. Its value is … determined in an econometric model in which the inflation rate depends on its own past values (‘inertia’), demand shocks proxied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123935
shifts in the parameters of wage equations when the process generating price inflation changes. The two major shifts that we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661752
examining the relationship between inflation and unemployment, which sheds light on these developments. The theoretical section … similar inflation behaviour, in that inflation depends more closely on the capacity utilization rate than on the unemployment … high unemployment does not put downward pressure on the inflation rate. During the 1970s and 1980s in Germany, there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661839
model, covering a panel of EU countries, and derives the implied long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667015
From 1970 to 1985, Israel experienced high inflation. It rose in three jumps to new plateaus and eventually exceeded … of fallen bank shares caused the last big jump in inflation that occurred in October 1983. Bank shares had just collapsed …. Because that was foreseen, inflation immediately rose as predicted by the unpleasant monetarist arithmetic of Sargent and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667001