positively linked to the conditional volatility of future real activity and of equity returns. The joint information in sectoral …

volatility of revenues, have failed to save a sufficiently high proportion of their resource revenues and failed to make high …

velocity volatility at both business cycle and long run frequencies. With filtered velocity turning negative, starting during …

reveal that higher margins have a much stronger negative relation to subsequent volatility in bull markets than in bear …

forward premia on monthly exchange rate returns in a framework that allows for volatility timing. We implement Bayesian … stochastic volatility innovations; and (ii) strategies based on combined forecasts yield large economic gains over the random …

Cross-country evidence is presented on resource dependence and the link between volatility and growth. First, growth … depends negatively on volatility of unanticipated output growth independent of initial income per capita, the average … growth. Second, the adverse effect of resources on growth operates primarily through higher volatility. The positive effect …

new panel database for 35 countries, this paper estimates the impact of terms of trade volatility and secular change on … country performance between 1870 and 1939. Volatility was much more important for accumulation and growth than was secular …