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job creation in the US, is its slower productivity growth. This paper begins with data showing that US productivity growth … has been essentially zero since 1973 outside of manufacturing. In contrast, productivity growth in US manufacturing has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005281397
panel of industries in 17 countries from 1993-2007. We find that industrial robots increased both labor productivity and ….37 percentage points. We also find that robots increased both wages and total factor productivity. While robots had no significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196027
We evaluate the Smets-Wouters model of the US using indirect inference with a VAR representation of the main US data series. We find that the original New Keynesian SW model is on the margin of acceptance when SW's own estimates of the variances and time-series behaviour of the structural errors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008496457
A common view in the literature is that the effect of energy price shocks on macroeconomic aggregates is asymmetric in energy price increases and decreases. We show that widely used asymmetric vector autoregressive models of the transmission of energy price shocks are misspecified, resulting in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005000442
Exchange rate regimes differ primarily by the activity of the exchange rate, not observable macroeconomic ‘fundamentals’. Fixed exchange rates are typically stable and floating exchange rates are volatile, but macro phenomena are regime-independent. Fundamentals only seem to be relevant for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788957
Business cycles reflect changes over time in the amount of trade between individuals. In this paper we show that incorporating explicitly intra-temporal gains from trade between individuals into a macroeconomic model can provide new insight into the potential mechanisms driving economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009221567
This paper develops a theory characterizing the effects of fiscal policy on unemployment over the business cycle. The theory is based on a model of equilibrium unemployment in which jobs are rationed in recessions. Fiscal policy in the form of government spending on public-sector jobs reduces...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324257
Over the past two decades, technological progress in the United States has been biased towards skilled labor. What does this imply for business cycles? We construct a quarterly skill premium from the CPS and use it to identify skill-biased technology shocks in a VAR with long-run restrictions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643505
money demand falls, while a positive goods productivity shock raises temporary output and velocity. The paper explains such … important for velocity during less stable times and the goods productivity shock more important during stable times. … decentralized banking that produces exchange credit. Positive shocks to credit productivity and money supply increase velocity, as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008496458
' capacity to borrow. Standard productivity shocks can only partially explain the movements in real and financial variables. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528541