Showing 1 - 10 of 179
This paper introduces a new indicator of core inflation for New Zealand, estimated using a dynamic factor model and … core indicator with a wide range of other ‘core inflation’ measures estimated from disaggregate consumer prices, such as … the weighted median and the trimmed mean. The medium term inflation target of Reserve Bank of New Zealand is used as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656226
This Paper proposes an index of core inflation for the euro area which exploits information from a large panel of time … component of national inflation and disregarding the idiosyncratic one, we clean inflation from measurement error, discrepancies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792223
In this paper we argue that measured (RPI) inflation is conceptually mismatched with core inflation: the difference is … more than just `measurement error'. We propose a technique for measuring core inflation based on an explicit long …-run economic hypothesis. Core inflation is defined as that component of measured inflation that has no (medium- to) long-run impact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662040
The standard regression approach to modeling return predictability seems too restrictive in one way but too lax in another. A predictive regression models expected returns as an exact linear function of a given set of predictors but does not exploit the likely economic property that innovations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124082
We use annual data drawn from 1950-85 to estimate an econometric model of the money multiplier for the United Kingdom. We define the money multiplier as ratio of the money stock broadly defined (M3) and the monetary base (M0), and then decompose the multiplier into the currency ratio, the time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497753
This paper gives money a role in providing cheap collateral in a model of banking; this means that, besides the Taylor Rule, monetary policy can affect the risk-premium on bank lending to firms by varying the supply of M0 in open market operations, so that even when the zero bound prevails...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084208
The New-Keynesian Taylor-Rule model of inflation determination with no role for money is incomplete. As Cochrane (2007a … invoked if inflation misbehaved. Thus we answer the criticisms levelled at the Taylor Rule that it has no credible mechanism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008466336
Frictionless, perfectly competitive traded-goods markets justify thinking of purchasing power parity (PPP) as the main driver of exchange rates in the long-run. But differences in the traded/non-traded sectors of economies tend to be persistent and affect movements in local price levels in ways...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008550320
-correction, cointegration and dynamic factor models, and has several conceptual advantages over standard ECM and FAVAR models. In particular, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468646
Cross-section or short-panel econometric techniques typically used to examine Gibrat’s Law of Proportionate Effect suggest that some degree of mean reversion exists, but may exaggerate the apparent randomness of corporate growth. We argue that a more natural way to explore the long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136482