Showing 1 - 10 of 194
separate periods, those of the first globalization wave (1870 to 1914), the period of the “bloc economy” (1915 to 1959) and for … the period of the second globalization (1960-2001). Cluster analysis is applied and the McNemar test is used to test for … that features some well-defined sub-global clusters, where the second globalization period does not, the first …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792022
In earlier work we documented two episodes in which a sharp fiscal consolidation was associated with a surprisingly large expansion in private domestic demand. In this paper we draw on further evidence to investigate if and when fiscal policy changes can have such non-Keynesian effects. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136472
This paper proposes a theoretical explanation of the empirical finding that private consumption increases in response to an increase in government spending. The explanation requires two ingredients. First, labor demand expands (e.g. prices are sticky). Second, general non-separable preferences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008459766
We document that an increase in government purchases generates a rise in consumption, the real and the product wage, and a fall in the markup. This evidence is robust across alternative empirical methodologies used to identify innovations in government spending (structural VAR vs. narrative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662286
The euro area is experiencing a severe and highly complex crisis. It comprises three problem areas, the difficulties of some highly indebted European sovereigns to ascertain funding at palatable cost, the disconcerting fragility of the European banking system and disappointing growth prospects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083564
The extent to which business groups ever existed in the United States and, if they did exist, the reasons for their disappearance are poorly understood. In this paper we use hitherto unexplored historical sources to construct a comprehensive data set to address this issue. We find that (1)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083947
unhedged borrowers. This measure explicitly takes into account the indirect exchange rate risk that banks undertake when they … lend to borrowers that will not be able to repay in the event of a sharp depreciation. Such systemic risk taking is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854496
It is striking that by far the lion's share of empirical studies on the impact of outsourcing on firms considers industrialized countries. However, outsourcing by firms from emerging economies is far from negligible and growing. This paper investigates the link between outsourcing and innovation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084498
We study the determinants of stock market development and the growing migration of capital raising, listing and trading activity to international exchanges. Economies with higher income per capita, sounder macro policies, more efficient legal systems with better shareholder protection, and more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666902
The paper provides a simple theory and empirical evidence on the asymmetric effect of credit markets on output decline and output growth. When credit markets are underdeveloped and enterprise activity is financed outside the banking sector, exogenous shocks may induce a break-up of both credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789097