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situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123620
We use evidence from the term structure of inflation expectations implicit in the nominal yields and survey forecasts … of inflation to address the question of whether or not monetary policy is effective. We construct a model that …-neutral, subjective, and objective probability measures. We extract private sector expectations of inflation from this model and establish …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662095
This Paper estimates a small New-Keynesian model with imperfect information and optimal discretionary policy using data for the euro area. The model is used to assess the usefulness of monetary aggregates and unit labour costs as information variables for monetary policy. The estimates reveal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666627
stable rates of inflation in many countries. Consequently, the main goal of this Paper is to offer an overview of the main … policy issues arising in a low inflation environment and their practical relevance so as to identify the main challenges … nominal wage or price rigidities? What does the low inflation environment imply about the relative importance and effects of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666924
model, covering a panel of EU countries, and derives the implied long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667015
competitiveness. A formal theory of inflation in the euro-zone based on an open-economy version of the New Keynesian model is used to … shown that, in effect, this is an inflation tax, requiring high inflation countries to make transfers to low inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789110
inflation and a permanent reduction in the level of unemployment. In short, we derive a microfounded long-run downward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791529
This paper explores the hypothesis that the non-German members of the European Monetary System (EMS) draw benefits from the system because of the monetary discipline that it imposes upon them. The hypothesis explains the dominant position of Germany in the EMS and is consistent with the evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791579
It is often argued that the EMS is an effective disciplinary device for inflation-prone countries in the EEC, since it …-makers in high-inflation countries: the reason is that not only it attaches an extra penalty to inflation (in terms of … inflationary finance, we find that they will always prefer EMS membership. When the policy-maker needs revenue from the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791653
at containing inflation and the deviation of output from potential within pre-specified bounds. We develop formal tools … this loss function under weak assumptions may be estimated from realizations for inflation and output gap data even in the … parameters with respect to the inflation and output objectives during the Greenspan period. We formally test for and reject the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791846