Showing 1 - 10 of 755
Firms expect certain investment expenditures. Firms realize certain investment expenditures. The difference is an … investment surprise. With the help of the IFO Investment Survey for the German manufacturing sector we measure firms …’ (quantitative) investment expectations and firms’ (quantitative) investment realizations on a yearly basis and construct a panel of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084608
fixed investment that became excessive and proved to be unsustainable, while the productivity acceleration helps to account …-01 collapse of investment and the stock market proves that good public policy matters, going beyond the narrowly defined …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792478
This paper adds a highly-leveraged financial sector to the Ramsey model of economic growth and shows that this causes the economy to behave in a highly volatile manner: doing this strongly augments the macroeconomic effects of aggregate productivity shocks. Our model is built on the financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322500
Changes in firms’ investment expenditures are considered one of the primary channels through which energy price shocks … are transmitted to the economy. It is widely believed that the response of business fixed investment to energy price … business fixed investment in equipment and structures cannot be reconciled with standard theoretical explanations of asymmetric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123750
Fear of risk provides a rationale for protracted economic downturns. We develop a real business cycle model where investors with decreasing relative risk aversion choose between a risky and a safe technology that exhibit decreasing returns. Because of a feedback effect from the interest rate to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083753
In this article, we demonstrate that a small degree of stochastic variation in the depreciation rate of capital can greatly reduce the comovement between hours worked and labour productivity in a neoclassical growth model. The depreciation rate is modeled as a Markov process to place a strict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791621
This paper explores the dynamic behavior of investment and hiring within a unified framework, stressing their mutual … results, the fit is achieved without implying high adjustment costs. The interaction of hiring and investment costs is … significant and is negatively signed, implying complementarity between investment and hiring. There is a substantial role for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854549
Structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models were introduced in 1980 as an alternative to traditional large … of the structural VAR methodology often were atheoretical in that users paid insufficient attention to the conditions … identifying assumptions the structural VAR literature has continuously evolved since the 1980s. This survey traces the evolution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009201117
We review the methods used in many papers to evaluate DSGE models by comparing their simulated moments with data moments. We compare these with the method of Indirect Inference to which they are closely related. We illustrate the comparison with contrasting assessments of a two-country model in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008496453
We evaluate the Smets-Wouters model of the US using indirect inference with a VAR representation of the main US data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008496457