Showing 1 - 10 of 87
Since the 2008 global financial crisis, and after decades of relative neglect, the importance of the financial system and its episodic crises as drivers of macroeconomic outcomes has attracted fresh scrutiny from academics, policy makers, and practitioners. Theoretical advances are following a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213304
Since Bernanke, Gertler and Watson (1997), a common view in the literature has been that systematic monetary policy responses to the inflation triggered by oil price shocks are an important source of aggregate fluctuations in the U.S. economy. We show that there is no evidence of systematic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008458291
In this paper I review the contribution of real business cycles models to our understanding of economic fluctuations, and discuss open issues in business cycle research.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662231
The observation that liquidations are concentrated in recessions has long been the subject of controversy. One view …, recessions result in reduced restructuring, and that this is likely to be socially costly once we consider inefficiencies on both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666837
This Paper proposes a model of business cycles in which recessions and booms arise as the result of difficulties … encountered by agents in properly forecasting the economy's future needs in terms of capital. The idea has a long history in the … such a model can explain the observed pattern of US recessions (frequency, depth) without relying on technological regress …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792481
This paper uses long-run restrictions on a three-variable system containing output growth, real wage growth and the differenced unemployment rate, to isolate three 'structural' shocks which drove business cycle fluctuations in Spain during 1970-94. These shocks are interpreted as aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124406
implications of 122 recessions, 112 (28) credit contraction (crunch) episodes, 114 (28) episodes of house price declines (busts … the severity and duration of recessions. Specifically, we find evidence that recessions associated with credit crunches … and house price busts tend to be deeper and longer than other recessions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497835
the welfare costs of severe recessions are distributed across diffrrent household age groups. The model predicts that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008915804
linkages between different phases of business and financial cycles. In particular, recessions associated with financial … disruption episodes, notably house price busts, tend to be longer and deeper than other recessions. Conversely, recoveries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009024488
Recessions lead to short-term job loss, lower levels of happiness and decreasing income levels. There is growing … disturbing long-run effect of recessions: young people who leave school in the midst of recessions are significantly more likely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011171783