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, reflecting the expected devaluation. Rather than selling debt at punitive rates, fiscal authorities will turn to temporary money … debt maturing during the crisis is sufficiently small - a condition that can be met by reducing the stock of public debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791449
composition of public debt (i.e. rollover/sudden stop risk) than on its level per se. We also uncover significant nonlinear … effects at high levels of public debt as well as significantly negative risk premia for major reserve currencies, which enjoy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324258
High-debt countries may face the risk of self-fulfilling debt crises. If the public expects that in the future the … government will be unable to roll over the maturing debt, they may refuse to buy debt today and choose to hold foreign assets … confidence crisis is more likely if the average maturity of the debt is short. Conversely, a long and evenly distributed maturity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497997
The development of government bond markets and, in particular, their currency composition have recently received much interest, partly because of their relation with financial crises. This Paper studies determinants of the size and currency composition of government bond markets for a panel of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114199
This paper provides a critical survey of the methods employed to model the effects of risk in econometric models. Most of the popular methods are shown to suffer from errors-in-variables bias, and an instrumental variable method is suggested to overcome this problem. The technique exploits the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498189
further loans to help service the debt. Since deposits are mainly short-term and loans are long-term, the short-run demand for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662155
A growing literature integrates theories of debt management into models of optimal fiscal policy. One promising theory … argues that the composition of government debt should be chosen so that fluctuations in the market value of debt offset … changes in expected future deficits. This complete market approach to debt management is valid even when the government only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136601
additional intertemporal mechanism that makes taxes more volatile in order to achieve lower debt management costs. In other words …, fiscal policy is secondary to debt management. Modelling optimal policy with long term bonds is computationally demanding … of long bonds compared to one period debt. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083295
We propose a clientele-based model of the yield curve and optimal maturity structure of government debt. Clienteles are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083839
The U.S recession of 2007 to 2009 is unique in the post-World-War-II experience by the broad company it kept. Activity contracted around the world, with the advanced countries of the North experiencing declines in spending normally the purview of the developing economies of the South. The last...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468628