Brückner, Markus; Ciccone, Antonio - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2008
window of opportunity for democratic change. We examine this hypothesis using yearly rainfall variation over the 1980 …-2004 period in 41 Sub-Saharan African countries. We find that a 25% drop in rainfall increases the probability of a transition to … democracy during the following two years by around 3 percentage points. A 5% fall in income due to low rainfall raises the …