Similar Search Results

Garleanu, Nicolae Bogdan; Pedersen, Lasse Heje; … - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2005

We model the demand-pressure effect on prices when options cannot be perfectly hedged. The model shows that demand pressure in one option contract increases its price by an amount proportional to the variance of the unhedgeable part of the option. Similarly, the demand pressure increases the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067592

Loss Functions in Option Valuation: A Framework for Model Selection

Bams, Dennis; Lehnert, Thorsten; Wolff, Christian C - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2005

In this paper, we investigate the importance of different loss functions when estimating and evaluating option pricing models. Our analysis shows that it is important to take into account parameter uncertainty, since this leads to uncertainty in the predicted option price. We illustrate the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791774

Spot and Forward Volatility in Foreign Exchange

Della Corte, Pasquale; Sarno, Lucio; Tsiakas, Ilias - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010

This paper investigates the empirical relation between spot and forward implied volatility in foreign exchange. We formulate and test the forward volatility unbiasedness hypothesis, which may be viewed as the volatility analogue to the extensively researched hypothesis of unbiasedness in forward...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008553071

Disasters implied by equity index options

Backus, David; Chernov, Mikhail; Martin, Ian - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2009

We use prices of equity index options to quantify the impact of extreme events on asset returns. We define extreme events as departures from normality of the log of the pricing kernel and summarize their impact with high-order cumulants: skewness, kurtosis, and so on. We show that high-order...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004976797

Sources of Risk in Currency Returns

Chernov, Mikhail; Graveline, Jeremy; Zviadadze, Irina - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2012

We quantify the sources of risk in currency returns as a first step toward understanding the returns reported for the carry trade. To do this, we develop and estimate an empirical model of exchange rate dynamics using daily data for four currencies relative to the US dollar: the Australian...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083487

Option Pricing and Foreign Investment under Political Risk

Cherian, Joseph A; Perotti, Enrico C - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1999

The paper analyzes foreign investment and asset prices in a context of uncertainty over future government policy. The model endogenizes the process of learning by foreign investors facing a potentially opportunistic government, which chooses strategically the timing of a policy reversal in order...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656360

The Valuation Channel of International Adjustment

Ghironi, Fabio; Lee, Jaewoo; Rebucci, Alessandro - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2015

position through the “valuation channel” of external adjustment, namely capital gains and losses on the country’s external … assets and liabilities. We examine this valuation channel theoretically in a dynamic equilibrium portfolio model with … quantities in the definition of net foreign assets, we can characterize the first-order dynamics of both valuation effects and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011266533

International Financial Adjustment

Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier; Rey, Hélène - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2005

stabilizing valuation effects contribute as much as 31% of the external adjustment. Our theory also has asset-pricing implications … to two years ahead and net exports at longer horizons. The exchange rate affects the trade balance and the valuation of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662073

Slow Moving Capital

Mitchell, Mark; Pedersen, Lasse Heje; Pulvino, Todd - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2007

We study three cases in which specialized arbitrageurs lost significant amounts of capital and, as a result, became liquidity demanders rather than providers. The effects on security markets were large and persistent: Prices dropped relative to fundamentals and the rebound took months. While...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788922

Stock Valuation and Learning about Profitability

Pástor, Luboš; Veronesi, Pietro - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2002

We develop a simple approach to valuing stocks in the presence of learning about average profitability. The market-to-book ratio (M/B) increases with uncertainty about average profitability, especially for firms that pay no dividends. M/B is predicted to decline over a firm's lifetime due to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791675