Showing 1 - 10 of 553
This paper develops a rational expectations model with multiple equilibrium unemployment rates where the price of … capital may be unbounded above. I argue that this property is an important feature of any rational-agent explanation of a … financial crisis as a large negative self-fulfilling shock to the expectation of the future price of capital. This shock causes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147406
We propose a theory of low-frequency movements in unemployment based on asymmetric real wage rigidities. The theory … generates two main predictions: long-run unemployment increases with (i) a fall in long-run productivity growth and (ii) a rise …-run unemployment over the 1980s and its rise during the late 2000s. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642883
growth model with capital mobility that emphasizes a link between wages, savings and growth. We identify the conditions on … the emergence of national unemployment due to minimum wages. Interestingly, differences in national savings propensities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124004
This paper studies the joint behaviour of inflation and unemployment in Spain over the period 1964–95 in order to … on the effects of demand shocks on the unemployment rate. Our estimates suggest, according to the reader’s prior belief …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124194
Investment in inventories is known to be important for observed changes in GDP. However, inventory investment and the possibility that firms may fail to sell all goods are typically ignored in business cycle models. Using US data, the ability to sell is shown to be strongly procyclical. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084538
. Furthermore, they fail to allow for quantity rationing and to model unemployment as a catastrophic event. The macroeconomics based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504355
We argue that firms’ balance sheets were instrumental in the propagation of shocks during the Great Recession. Using establishment-level data, we show that firms that tightened their debt capacity in the run-up (“high-leverage firms”) exhibit a significantly larger decline in employment in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011252614
Germany experienced an even deeper fall in GDP in the Great Recession than the United States, with little employment loss. Employers’ reticence to hire in the preceding expansion, associated in part with a lack of confidence it would last, contributed to an employment shortfall equivalent to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009246610
This paper develops a theory characterizing the effects of fiscal policy on unemployment over the business cycle. The … theory is based on a model of equilibrium unemployment in which jobs are rationed in recessions. Fiscal policy in the form of … government spending on public-sector jobs reduces unemployment, especially during recessions: the fiscal multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324257
which there are multiple equilibrium unemployment rates. The model has two equations in common with the new-Keynesian model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692320