Showing 1 - 10 of 18
Since the 2008 global financial crisis, and after decades of relative neglect, the importance of the financial system and its episodic crises as drivers of macroeconomic outcomes has attracted fresh scrutiny from academics, policy makers, and practitioners. Theoretical advances are following a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213304
This paper uses long-run restrictions on a three-variable system containing output growth, real wage growth and the differenced unemployment rate, to isolate three 'structural' shocks which drove business cycle fluctuations in Spain during 1970-94. These shocks are interpreted as aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124406
implications of 122 recessions, 112 (28) credit contraction (crunch) episodes, 114 (28) episodes of house price declines (busts … the severity and duration of recessions. Specifically, we find evidence that recessions associated with credit crunches … and house price busts tend to be deeper and longer than other recessions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497835
the welfare costs of severe recessions are distributed across diffrrent household age groups. The model predicts that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008915804
linkages between different phases of business and financial cycles. In particular, recessions associated with financial … disruption episodes, notably house price busts, tend to be longer and deeper than other recessions. Conversely, recoveries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009024488
Recessions lead to short-term job loss, lower levels of happiness and decreasing income levels. There is growing … disturbing long-run effect of recessions: young people who leave school in the midst of recessions are significantly more likely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011171783
which are typically followed by deeper recessions and slower recoveries. Housing finance has come to play a central role in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083232
There is a widespread belief that changes in expectations may be an important independent driver of economic fluctuations. The news view of business cycles offers a formalization of this perspective. In this paper we discuss mechanisms by which changes in agents' information, due to the arrival...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083558
Two separate narratives have emerged in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis. One speaks of private financial excess and the key role of the banking system in leveraging and deleveraging the economy. The other emphasizes the public sector balance sheet over the private and worries about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084027
a succession of three distinct phases: expansions, recessions and recoveries. We discuss alternative methods to identify …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084132