Showing 1 - 10 of 241
We analyse different forms of international debt mutualisation in a simple framework with a political distortion and (partial) default under adverse economic circumstances. One form is a debt repayment guarantee, which can be "unlimited" or "limited", i.e. only be invoked when the guarantee...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083437
From 1970 to 1985, Israel experienced high inflation. It rose in three jumps to new plateaus and eventually exceeded … of fallen bank shares caused the last big jump in inflation that occurred in October 1983. Bank shares had just collapsed …. Because that was foreseen, inflation immediately rose as predicted by the unpleasant monetarist arithmetic of Sargent and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667001
The fiscal gains from, and hence the political incentives for, an increase in the inflation rate of ten percentage … inflation increase would have been even larger, however, and would thus have reduced net welfare. Possible institutional reforms …, aimed at making the political costs of inflation more equal to the social costs, are presented and discussed. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498004
issue only nominal non-contingent bonds we examine the implications for optimal inflation of changes in the level and … given. We identify the main mechanisms through which inflation is affected by debt and debt maturity (a real balance effect … monetary and fiscal policy we find that the persistence and volatility of inflation depends on the sign, size and maturity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083281
corrects the average debt bias, inflation, which is attuned to the Union-average debt level, is more stable. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661884
includes output, government spending and revenues, inflation and the nominal interest rate) does not rely upon the assumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082536
Does fiscal consolidation lead to social unrest? Using cross-country evidence for the period 1919 to 2008, we examine the extent to which societies become unstable after budget cuts. The results show a clear correlation between fiscal retrenchment and instability. We test if the relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009201119
This paper shows how the richer frequency and variety of fiscal policy shocks available in an international sample can be analyzed recognizing the heterogeneity that exists across different countries. The main conclusion of our empirical analysis is that the question 'what is the fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009201121
Using real-time data from Europe's Stability and Convergence Programs, we explore how fiscal plans and their implementation in the EU are determined. We find that (1) implemented budgetary adjustment falls systematically short of planned adjustment and this shortfall increases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005041099
The currently available empirical evidence shows remarkable differences between various estimates of the effects on U.S. output of an exogenous shift in Federal tax liabilities. Shocks identified via the narrative method imply a multiplier of about three over an horizon of three years. Tax...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468626