Showing 1 - 10 of 11
sizable and short-lived on average; (2) the magnitude of opportunistic cycles decreases with voters' rationality and awareness … incumbent governors. Our results confirm that maturity of democracy as well as rationality and awareness of the electorate are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662200
Rational investors perceive correctly the value of financial information. Investment in information is therefore rewarded with a higher Sharpe ratio. Overconfident investors overstate the quality of their own information, and thus attain a lower Sharpe ratio. We contrast the implications of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123525
We analyse households’ responses to an unanticipated change in consumption opportunities and evaluate their implications for the nature and formation of preferences. We study the tariff experiment conducted by South Central Bell where local telephone measured tariffs were introduced for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498107
This paper examines the validity of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates by means of a previously unexploited dataset of market expectations that covers a broad range of EMS versus non-EMS foreign currency deposits. Although we find strong evidence in favour of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504713
with internal rationality. We also show that equilibrium prices depend on expectations of the discounted price and dividend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577809
Evaluation of forecast optimality in economics and finance has almost exclusively been conducted under the assumption of mean squared error loss. Under this loss function optimal forecasts should be unbiased and forecast errors serially uncorrelated at the single-period horizon with increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661998
Building on evidence from neurobiology and neuroscience, we model the physiological limitations faced by individuals in the process of decision-making that starts with sensory perception and ends in action selection. The brain sets a neuronal threshold, observes whether the neuronal cell firing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656356
In the course of ordinary business, commercial banks frequently encounter entrepreneurs seeking loans for the purpose … of financing new or continuing projects. These entrepreneurs are frequently unrealistic, their perception having been … relationship between banks and possible optimistic entrepreneurs. We examine this capital market from the stand-point of economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791403
credit markets. Due to the financial imperfections, high-productivity firms - which are run by entrepreneurs - must be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123794
We construct a model where an entrepreneur could either innovate for entry or for sale. It is shown that increased product competition tends to increase the relative profitability of innovation for sale relative to entry. Increased competition reduces entrants' and acquirers' profits in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497863