Showing 1 - 10 of 134
positively linked to the conditional volatility of future real activity and of equity returns. The joint information in sectoral …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008915810
Countries with strong executive constraints have lower growth volatility but similar average growth to those with weak … in inflows when strong executive constraints are adopted in terms of the reduction in the volatility in productivity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145416
To generate big responses of unemployment to productivity changes, researchers have reconfigured matching models in various ways: by elevating the utility of leisure, by making wages sticky, by assuming alternating-offer wage bargaining, by introducing costly acquisition of credit, or by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201357
We investigate the relation between global foreign exchange (FX) volatility risk and the cross-section of excess … FX volatility and thus deliver low returns in times of unexpected high volatility, when low interest rate currencies … provide a hedge by yielding positive returns. Our proxy for global FX volatility risk captures more than 90% of the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008867494
volatility of revenues, have failed to save a sufficiently high proportion of their resource revenues and failed to make high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009385762
This paper adds a highly-leveraged financial sector to the Ramsey model of economic growth and shows that this causes the economy to behave in a highly volatile manner: doing this strongly augments the macroeconomic effects of aggregate productivity shocks. Our model is built on the financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322500
Business cycle fluctuations in developed economies (N) tend to have large and persistent effects on developing countries (S). We study the transmission of business cycle fluctuations for developed to developing economies with a two-country asymmetric DSGE model with two features: (i) endogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322501
We propose a theory of low-frequency movements in unemployment based on asymmetric real wage rigidities. The theory generates two main predictions: long-run unemployment increases with (i) a fall in long-run productivity growth and (ii) a rise in the variance of productivity growth. Evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642883
to an end. This paper offers evidence that the decrease in output volatility still remains in force despite the GR and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083709
This paper presents instrumental variables estimates of the effects of GDP per capita volatility on the size of … government. We show that for a panel of 157 countries spanning more than half a century rainfall volatility has a significant … positive effect on GDP per capita volatility in countries with above median temperatures. In these countries rainfall …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083816