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I revisit the relationship between growth and volatility in two different disaggregated datasets. I confirm that growth … aggregate volatility that is common across sectors that correlates negatively with aggregate growth. Furthermore, while … and volatility are negatively related across countries, but show that the relation reverses itself across sectors. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792298
investment funds traces out a mean-variance tradeoff for the growth rate of the economy. In particular, the volatility of these … the context of two partial equilibrium endogenous growth models. In our first model, the scale of fickle outside … regulation of outside investment may increase growth. Our second model involves increasing returns and multiple equilibria. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661544
The post-1983 moderation coincided with an ahistorical divergence in the money aggregate growth and velocity … volatilities away from the downward trending GDP and inflation volatilities. Using an en dogenous growth monetary DSGE model, with … micro-based banking production, enables a contrasting characterization of the two great volatility cycles over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666738
macroeconomic questions such as business cycles, growth, and policy. Particular attention is given to the ability of the model to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792066
, appropriate for measuring interest rate effects. A stochastic trend measures underlying shifts in productivity and other supply … growth. There are important and persistent effects of high real interest rates, which significantly constrained growth in the … 1990s, and significant potential growth benefits from fiscal discipline. South African growth appears to have become more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067408
second phase that growth starts in earnest. The historical record of productivity growth associated with electrification, and …We develop a model of growth driven by successive improvements in `General Purpose Technologies' (GPTs), such as the … cycles: during the first phase of each cycle output and productivity grow slowly or even decline, and it is only in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124059
capital and in this sense induces the growth rate decrease. Shifts in the model’s credit sector productivity cause shifts in … growth rate. While inflation and growth rate changes occur simultaneously, the inflation acts as a tax on the return to human … the income velocity of money that can break the otherwise stable relation between money, inflation, and output growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791637
of productivity growth, but the effect depends critically on a country's level of financial development. For countries … with relatively low levels of financial development, exchange rate volatility generally reduces growth, whereas for … rate volatility, and outliers. We also offer a simple monetary growth model in which real exchange rate uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123616
We provide evidence on the real effects of credit supply shocks utilizing a new firm-level database from six Latin American countries between 1990 to 2005. Holding creditworthiness constant through foreign currency debt exposure, we compare investment undertaken by domestic exporters to that of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009275697
When learning-by-doing is at the origin of growth, we show that growth rates should be negatively related to the … amplitude of the business cycle if the growth rate in human capital is increasing and concave in the cyclical component of … standard control variables, we find that countries and regions that have higher standard deviations of growth and of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789125