Showing 1 - 10 of 78
, the euro and the Chinese renminbi (RMB). It focuses on what we call China’s" dominance hypothesis", i.e. whether the … renminbi is already the dominant currency in Asia, exerting a large influence on exchange rate and monetary policies in the … global financial crisis. These results are consistent with China’s dominance hypothesis and with the view that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371469
This paper analyzes the consequences of the internationalization of the Chinese renminbi for the global monetary system … moderate the perceived need for insurance, and China would have to loom large in both solutions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084193
In the face of huge balance of payments surpluses and internal inflationary pressures, China has been in a classic … conflict between internal and external balance under its dollar currency peg. Over the longer term, China’s large, modernizing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497979
China and its other trading partners manipulate their exchange rates, and (b) the nature of the Chinese exchange rate regime … bilateral deficit, though other variables also turn out to be quite important. On the issue of China's de facto exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114394
For the past four or five decades, the international monetary system has operated on a ’dollar standard’. Popular discussion suggests that this gives the US an advantage in the use of monetary policy. This Paper analyses the determination of monetary policy in a world with a dollar standard,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123745
We study the pricing of political uncertainty in a general equilibrium model of government policy choice. We find that political uncertainty commands a risk premium whose magnitude is larger in poorer economic conditions. Political uncertainty reduces the value of the implicit put protection...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320399
This paper proposes a panel data approach to modeling the risk premium in the term structure of interest rates. Specifically, we develop a fixed maturity/random time effects model that implies a time-invariant one-factor model. Our approach allows us to disentangle risk premia and unexpected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123603
A popular suggestion among emerging or transition economies is to 'dollarize' or 'euro-ize'; that is to adopt the currency of a larger, richer neighbour in order to import the monetary discipline and financial stability of that neighbour. This paper examines the pros and cons of that suggestion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123613
A single variable describes, day-by-day, what investors think about the state of Brazil's economy: the Brazilian component of the Emerging Market Bond Index, the Embi spread. This spread is the difference between the yield on a dollar-denominated bond issued by the Brazilian government and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123784
The risk premium in the US stock market has fallen far below its historic level, which Shiller (2000) attributes to a bubble driven by psychological factors. As an alternative explanation, we point out that the observed risk premium may be reduced by one-sided intervention policy on the part of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067591