measures of marginal cost as the relevant determinant of inflation, as the theory suggests, instead of an ad-hoc output gap …We develop and estimate a structural model of inflation that allows for a fraction of firms that use a backward looking …. Real marginal costs are a significant and quantitatively important determinant of inflation. Backward looking price setting …

inflation and a permanent reduction in the level of unemployment. In short, we derive a microfounded long-run downward …

model, covering a panel of EU countries, and derives the implied long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our results …

shifts in the parameters of wage equations when the process generating price inflation changes. The two major shifts that we …

examining the relationship between inflation and unemployment, which sheds light on these developments. The theoretical section … similar inflation behaviour, in that inflation depends more closely on the capacity utilization rate than on the unemployment … high unemployment does not put downward pressure on the inflation rate. During the 1970s and 1980s in Germany, there …

This paper estimates the NAIRU (standing for the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment) as a parameter that … varies over time. The NAIRU is the unemployment rate that is consistent with a constant rate of inflation. Its value is … determined in an econometric model in which the inflation rate depends on its own past values (‘inertia’), demand shocks proxied …

We extend the `rational-partisan' model of inflation to allow for the effects of unemployment persistence on the … dynamics of inflation. We combine this model with the `exchange-rate-regime' model of inflation and examine the experience of … the United Kingdom. Outside the fixed exchange rate regime of Bretton Woods, persistently high inflation can be attributed …

has been a worsening in the trade-off between unemployment and inflation. The poor unemployment/inflation trade-off is due … (which does little to restrain inflation). …

This Paper takes a new look at the long-run dynamics of inflation and unemployment in response to permanent changes in …, we construct an empirical model of the Spanish economy and, in this context, we evaluate the long-run inflation …

A stable predictive relationship between inflation and the output gap, often referred to as a Phillips curve, provides … univariate and multivariate estimates of the output gap for predicting inflation. Many of the ex post output gap measures we … examine appear to be quite useful for predicting inflation. However, forecasts using real-time estimates of the same measures …