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these facts, we propose a simple model of sovereign risk in which debt can be traded in secondary markets. The model has two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084507
, capital gains, and portfolio adjustment for consumption risk sharing when financial markets are incomplete, showing how these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011266533
This paper extends the analysis of the forthcoming fall in the dollar by Blanchard, Giavazzi and Sà 2005), using a model which incorporates forward-looking consumers. It provides additional underpinnings for the idea of a rapid adjustment in the value of the dollar. We analyze what will happen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005016248
supply side ‘shock’ to consume more against expected future output and to spread risk by selling shares. Since irrational …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123520
an episode of international deleveraging, world consumption demand is depressed and the world interest rate is low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196040
We provide a theory of the determination of exchange rates based on capital flows in imperfect financial markets … their required compensation for holding currency risk, thus impacting both the level and volatility of exchange rates. Our … theory of exchange rate determination in imperfect financial markets not only rationalizes the empirical disconnect between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083240
We examine the first widespread use of capital controls in response to a global or regional financial crisis. In particular, we analyze whether capital controls mitigated capital flight in the 1930s and assess their causal effects on macroeconomic recovery from the Great Depression. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084261
This Paper shows that general equilibrium effects can partly rationalize the high correlation between saving and investment observed in OECD countries. We introduce a novel factor augmented panel regression to control for general equilibrium effects where global shocks are allowed to affect each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666697
This paper describes the stylized facts characterizing periods of exceptionally large capital inflows in a sample of 70 middle- and high-income countries over the last 35 years. We identify 155 episodes of large capital inflows and find that these events are typically accompanied by an economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011266535
find that, consistent with standard theory, these shocks raise relative consumption, deteriorate net exports, and raise the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662111