for forecasting GDP growth at short-term horizons in the euro area. We discuss three sets of empirical results. First we … forecast revisions. Third we design a pseudo out of sample forecasting exercise and examine point and density forecast accuracy …

Markov-switching models. After a discussion of estimation and inference for MS-MIDAS, and a small sample simulation based …

We define nowcasting as the prediction of the present, the very near future and the very recent past. Key in this … argue that the nowcasting process goes beyond the simple production of an early estimate and it consists in the analysis of … nowcasting traditionally conducted in policy institutions and used, alongside the judgemental procedures, in many central banks …

exchange can be usefully exploited in forecasting future spot exchange rates. I use signal-extraction techniques, based on …

We analyse the impact of increased immigration on labour market outcomes of natives in Germany using a dataset of … previous level. Especially for unemployment we find large effects of an increased foreign share. We conjecture that these … results might be spurious. Foreigners tend to be concentrated in lower unemployment areas but unemployment tends to be mean …

The purpose of this paper is to link the twin horns of the European economic dilemma - unemployment and a loss in … international competitiveness - to a lack of innovative activity. In Germany the Innovationskrise (innovation crisis) combines with … the Standortkrise (location crisis) and the Arbeitslosenkrise (unemployment crisis) to form a triad of economic challenges …

the hypothesis that a rigid wage structure has been responsible for rising low-skilled unemployment, I propose a …

Germany experienced an even deeper fall in GDP in the Great Recession than the United States, with little employment …

survey data of a representative inflow sample into unemployment in Germany, we empirically test the hypothesis that …