Showing 1 - 10 of 61
This paper examines Norwegian gasoline pump prices using daily station-specific observations from March 2003 to March … theory (Maskin and Tirole, 1988), we demonstrate that Norwegian gasoline price cycles involve a form of coordinated behavior …. We also show that gasoline prices follow a fixed weekly pattern, with prices increasing significantly every Monday at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666514
debate: What are energy price shocks and where do they come from? How responsive is energy demand to changes in energy prices … energy price decreases do not seem to cause expansions? Why has there been a surge in gasoline prices in recent years? Why … differentiate between the effects of demand and supply shocks in energy markets, when answering these questions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504581
This paper provides evidence that learning about demand is an important driver of firms' dynamics. We present a simple … model with Bayesian learning in which firms are uncertain about their idiosyncratic demand parameter in each of the markets … their beliefs following a new demand shock, the younger they are. To test this learning mechanism, we make use of a specific …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213311
between mid-2003 and mid-2008 was driven by repeated positive shocks to the demand for all industrial commodities, reflecting … different econometric methodology. Rather than inferring demand shocks from an econometric model, we utilize a direct measure of … global demand shocks based on revisions of professional real GDP growth forecasts. We show that recent forecast surprises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666885
-shock specification, we identify, using sign restrictions, two non-policy shocks, demand and supply, and two policy shocks, monetary and … fiscal. We obtain the following results. (ii) Both supply and demand shocks are important sources of fluctuations; supply … prevails for GDP, while demand prevails for employment and inflation. (ii) Policy matters: Both monetary and fiscal policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468698
to the speculative demand for oil as well as shocks to the flow demand and flow supply. The forward-looking element of … find that this surge was caused by fluctuations in the flow demand for oil driven by the global business cycle. There is … evidence, however, that speculative demand shifts played an important role during earlier oil price shock episodes including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008530341
This Paper attempts to draw lessons for the New Economy from what economists know about technology dissemination and economic growth. It argues that what is most notable about the New Economy is that it is knowledge-driven, not just in the sense that knowledge now assumes increasing importance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123594
We model the demand-pressure effect on prices when options cannot be perfectly hedged. The model shows that demand … option. Similarly, the demand pressure increases the price of any other option by an amount proportional to the covariance of … show that demand-pressure effects contribute to well-known option-pricing puzzles. Indeed, time-series tests show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067592
When a supply and demand model is recursive, with errors uncorrelated across the two equations, ordinary least squares …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504667
In this paper I develop the Discrete Choice Analytically Flexible (DCAF) model of demand for differentiated products …. DCAF relaxes the constraints imposed on the matrix of own- and cross-price elasticities of demand by popular analytic …-price elasticities of demand. Under well defined constraints on the parameters, which may or may not be imposed in estimation, DCAF is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656174