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For individual countries, variable trade barriers can be used to reduce the volatility of domestic relative to world prices. If this is done by countries accounting for a large share of the market, its effect is offset by increases in world price volatility. This study shows the nature of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009207521
Rapid trade-led economic growth in emerging Asia has been shifting the global economic and industrial centres of gravity away from the north Atlantic, raising the importance of Asia in world trade but also altering the commodity composition of trade by Asia and other regions. What began with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083385
Rapid economic growth in some emerging economies in recent decades has significantly increased their global economic importance. If this rapid growth continues and is strongest in resource-poor Asian economies, the growth in global demand for imports of primary products also will continue, to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084563
We study the determination of Irish inflation between 1926 and 2012. The difference between unemployment and the NAIRU … is a significant determinant of inflation in a simple backward-looking Phillips Curve that incorporates import prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272719
This paper presents a theory of the monetary transmission mechanism in a monetary version of Farmer’s (2009) model in which there are multiple equilibrium unemployment rates. The model has two equations in common with the new-Keynesian model; the optimizing IS curve and the policy rule. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692320
regimes that are nested within this framework: inflation, output-gap growth and nominal income growth targeting; and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008459765
We use evidence from the term structure of inflation expectations implicit in the nominal yields and survey forecasts … of inflation to address the question of whether or not monetary policy is effective. We construct a model that …-neutral, subjective, and objective probability measures. We extract private sector expectations of inflation from this model and establish …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662095
of monetary policy. These models, based on the conventional view that inflation stabilization should be a concern of …-augmented Taylor rule can deliver recurrent mispredictions of inflation in the US before 1987. We then show that a fiscal feedback rule … the two rules predict the behaviour of inflation better than the one based just on the monetary policy rule. After 1987 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662224
central banks to control inflation within their borders, at least in the absence of coordination of policy with other central … the ability of monetary policy to control inflation: by making liquidity premia a function of 'global liquidity' rather … to control the dynamics of inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662247
narrowed ahead of inflation divergence. Cross-country real interest rankings would then assume a negative correlation with the … corresponding inflation rankings. The paper argues that on theoretical grounds, a perverse correlation between real interest rates … and inflation can be predicted for `old EMS' conditions. Empirical evidence supports this prediction while failing to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662333