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The U.S recession of 2007 to 2009 is unique in the post-World-War-II experience by the broad company it kept. Activity contracted around the world, with the advanced countries of the North experiencing declines in spending normally the purview of the developing economies of the South. The last...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468628
We study economic growth and inflation at different levels of government and external debt. Our analysis is based on … findings are: First, the relationship between government debt and real GDP growth is weak for debt/GDP ratios below a threshold … of 90 percent of GDP. Above 90 percent, median growth rates fall by one percent, and average growth falls considerably …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468655
A theoretical model for growth or inflation should be able to reproduce the empirical features of these variables … series models can really outperform standard linear models for GDP growth and inflation, and should therefore substitute them … for theoretical models of growth and inflation. However, we also identify some important cases where the adoption of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656192
volatilities away from the downward trending GDP and inflation volatilities. Using an en dogenous growth monetary DSGE model, with …The post-1983 moderation coincided with an ahistorical divergence in the money aggregate growth and velocity … the upswing in the credit volatility that kept money supply variability from translating into inflation and GDP volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666738
. Quantitative goals take three forms: exchange rates, money growth rates, and inflation targets. We analyse the effects on inflation … determinants of inflation (such as fiscal policy, the business cycle, and openness to international trade), and the endogeneity of … systematically and robustly associated with lower inflation. The exact form of the monetary target matters somewhat, but is less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791282
growth rate. While inflation and growth rate changes occur simultaneously, the inflation acts as a tax on the return to human … the income velocity of money that can break the otherwise stable relation between money, inflation, and output growth … inflation to growth for both Hungary and Poland, as suggested by the model, although there is some feedback to money for Poland …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791637
In late 1979 Turkey found itself in the throes of a foreign exchange crisis, with widespread shortages, negative growth … and three-digit inflation. A decade later, Turkey has a comfortable balance-of-payments situation, and holds considerable …, despite some initial success in the early 1980s, inflation remains high and the public sector budget is out of control …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005281400
Countries that have pursued distortionary macroeconomic policies, including high inflation, large budget deficits and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136626
Some channels through which increased inflation tends to reduce economic growth, and vice versa, are studied within a … wedge between the returns to real and financial capital. The effect of inflation on growth is estimated using the random …, covering 170 countries from 1960 to 1993. The cross-country links between inflation and growth are economically and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666711
This paper reconsiders the relationship between inflation, economic growth and external debt, and discusses various … channels through which (a) increased inflation tends to reduce growth and raise foreign indebtedness over time and (b …) declining growth tends to amplify both inflation and debt. Based on a simple model of the simultaneous determination of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661661