Showing 1 - 10 of 440
which are typically followed by deeper recessions and slower recoveries. Housing finance has come to play a central role in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083232
, materially heighten the risk of financial crises. Both effects have become stronger in the postwar era. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145419
The paper analyzes a very stylized model of crises and demonstrates how the degree of strategic complementarity in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147398
Bank liquidity is a crucial determinant of the severity of banking crises. In this paper, we consider the effect of … fire sales and foreign entry on banks' ex ante choice of liquid asset holdings, and the ex post resolution of crises. In a …, foreign entry reduces this incentive. We exhibit international evidence on foreign entry following crises and on banks' ex …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123848
Fire sales that occur during crises beg the question of why sufficient outside capital does not move in quickly to take …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980209
What can history can tell us about the relationship between the banking system, financial crises, the global economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084609
Import competition from China is pervasive in the sense that for many good categories, the competitive environment that US firms face in these markets is strongly driven by the prices of Chinese imports, and so is their pricing decision. This paper quantifies the effect of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145441
We investigate inflation predictability in the United States across the monetary regimes of the XXth century. The forecasts based on money growth and output growth were significantly more accurate than the forecasts based on past inflation only during the regimes associated with neither a clear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008873332
This paper explores the link between the leverage of the US financial sector, of households and of non-financial businesses, and real activity. We document that leverage is negatively correlated with the future growth of real activity, and positively linked to the conditional volatility of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008915810
Central banks' projections--i.e. forecasts conditional on a given interest rate path-- are often criticized on the grounds that their underlying policy assumptions are inconsistent with the existence of a unique equilibrium in many forward-looking models. Here I describe three alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008677240