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norm. During the 1950s and 1960s low unemployment was reconciled with stable inflation through the exercise of wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792451
This paper discusses three aspects of stabilization and international integration: the real wage; inflation; and the … real effective exchange rate. Using empirical evidence on inflation and the real effective exchange rate, we evaluate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123546
In this paper we evaluate quantitatively the impact of mass emigration from Ireland between the 1850s and the first World War on Irish real wages. We produce new estimates for several occupations which show that, contrary to some accounts, real wage growth in Ireland was respectable by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666710
We study the determination of Irish inflation between 1926 and 2012. The difference between unemployment and the NAIRU … is a significant determinant of inflation in a simple backward-looking Phillips Curve that incorporates import prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272719
This paper presents a theory of the monetary transmission mechanism in a monetary version of Farmer’s (2009) model in which there are multiple equilibrium unemployment rates. The model has two equations in common with the new-Keynesian model; the optimizing IS curve and the policy rule. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692320
regimes that are nested within this framework: inflation, output-gap growth and nominal income growth targeting; and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008459765
We use evidence from the term structure of inflation expectations implicit in the nominal yields and survey forecasts … of inflation to address the question of whether or not monetary policy is effective. We construct a model that …-neutral, subjective, and objective probability measures. We extract private sector expectations of inflation from this model and establish …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662095
of monetary policy. These models, based on the conventional view that inflation stabilization should be a concern of …-augmented Taylor rule can deliver recurrent mispredictions of inflation in the US before 1987. We then show that a fiscal feedback rule … the two rules predict the behaviour of inflation better than the one based just on the monetary policy rule. After 1987 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662224
central banks to control inflation within their borders, at least in the absence of coordination of policy with other central … the ability of monetary policy to control inflation: by making liquidity premia a function of 'global liquidity' rather … to control the dynamics of inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662247
narrowed ahead of inflation divergence. Cross-country real interest rankings would then assume a negative correlation with the … corresponding inflation rankings. The paper argues that on theoretical grounds, a perverse correlation between real interest rates … and inflation can be predicted for `old EMS' conditions. Empirical evidence supports this prediction while failing to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662333