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Instrumental variable estimation requires untestable exclusion restrictions. With policy effects on individual outcomes, there is typically a time interval between the moment the agent realizes that he may be exposed to the policy and the actual exposure or the announcement of the actual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792073
Recent empirical work finds that surprisingly little variation in the demand for insurance is explained by … variation. Heterogeneous risk perceptions induce a systematic difference between the revealed and actual value of insurance as a … function of the insurance price. Using a sufficient statistics approach that accounts for this alternative source of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083454
This Paper looks at the effects of entrepreneurial optimism on financial contracting and corporate performance …. Optimism may increase effort, but is bad for adaptation decisions as the entrepreneur underweights negative information. The … possible, we show that insurance motives lead realists to prefer long-term debt, whereas short-term debt is the optimal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136697
We analyze the investment decision of a population of time inconsistent entrepreneurs who overweight current payoffs relative to future returns. We show that, in order to avoid inefficient procrastination, agents may find it optimal to keep optimistic priors about their chances of success and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791696
Confirmation bias refers to cognitive errors that bias one towards one's own prior beliefs. A vast empirical literature documents its existence and psychologists identify it as one of the most problematic aspects of human reasoning. In this paper, we present three related scenarios where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661569
This Paper analyses the welfare effects of price restrictions on private contracting in a world where agents have a limited cognitive ability. People compute the costs and benefits of entering a transaction with an error. The government knows the distribution of true costs and benefits as well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662402
This paper presents new evidence on the distribution of risk attitudes in the population, using a novel set of survey questions and a representative sample of roughly 22,000 individuals living in Germany. Using a question that asks about willingness to take risks in general, on an 11-point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123605
Theory suggests that people facing higher uninsurable background risk buy more insurance against other risks that are … casualty insurance increases with earnings uncertainty. This finding is consistent with consumer preferences being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123926
We study a monopoly insurance model with endogenous information acquisition. Through a continuous effort choice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084544
What are the welfare effects of a policy that facilitates for insurance customers to privately and covertly learn about … their accident risks? We endogenize the information structure in Stiglitz's classic monopoly insurance model. We first show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083449