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This paper is structured in three parts. The first part outlines the methodological steps, involving both theoretical and empirical work, for assessing whether an observed allocation of resources across countries is efficient. The second part applies the methodology to the long-run allocation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083981
interest rates. Contrary to common wisdom, a slowdown in the Emerging market implies a trade balance improvement in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084689
period 1983-2009. We experiment with inter-country links that distinguish bilateral trade, portfolio investment, foreign … bilateral trade and inward foreign direct investment or outward banking claim exposures in a GVAR fits the data better than … using trade weights only. We use sign restrictions on the short-run impulse responses to financial shocks that have the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009399715
which all agents trade in complete global financial markets can generate realistic exchange rate volatility; however, I show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084256
While the 2008-2009 financial crisis originated in the United States, we witnessed steep declines in output, consumption and investment of similar magnitudes around the globe. This raises two questions. First, given the observed strong home bias in goods and financial markets, what can account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084317
In 2007, countries in the euro periphery were enjoying stable growth, low deficits, and low spreads. Then the Financial crisis erupted and pushed them into deep recessions, raising their deficits and debt levels. By 2010, they were facing severe debt problems. Spreads increased and,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084507
This paper analyses the synchronization of business cycles between new and old EU members using various measures. The main findings are that Hungary, Poland and Slovenia have achieved a high degree of synchronization for GDP, industry and exports, but not for consumption and services. The other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792241
The paper presents new stylized facts on the direction of capital flows. We find (i) international capital flows net of government debt and/or official aid are positively correlated with growth; (ii) sovereign debt flows are negatively correlated with growth only if debt is financed by another...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009364326
substantially larger in disaggregated studies. This may be an artifact of heterogeneity. We use disaggregated multilateral trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123775
We study the determinants of net capital income flows within the United States. We analyze a simple multi-state neoclassical model in which total factor productivity varies across states and over time and capital flows freely across state borders. The model predicts that capital will flow to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124081