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This Paper documents that the rise of (Western) Europe between 1500 and 1850 is largely accounted for by the growth of European nations with access to the Atlantic, and especially by those nations that engaged in colonialism and long distance oceanic trade. Moreover, Atlantic ports grew much...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067437
flows--over the business cycle and during financial crises. We show that gross capital flows are very large and volatile … investing more abroad during expansions. During crises, especially during severe ones, there is retrenchment, that is, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009321838
We study the output costs of 40 systemic banking crises since 1980. Most, but not all, crises in our sample coincide … of past banking crises were higher when they were accompanied by a currency crisis or when growth was low at the onset of … a tendency for systemic banking crises to have lasting negative output effects. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008472105
Fire sales that occur during crises beg the question of why sufficient outside capital does not move in quickly to take …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980209
Bank liquidity is a crucial determinant of the severity of banking crises. In this paper, we consider the effect of … fire sales and foreign entry on banks' ex ante choice of liquid asset holdings, and the ex post resolution of crises. In a …, foreign entry reduces this incentive. We exhibit international evidence on foreign entry following crises and on banks' ex …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123848
Intra-day interest rates are zero. Consequently, a foreign exchange dealer can short a vulnerable currency in the morning, close this position in the afternoon, and never face an interest cost. This tactic might seem especially attractive in times of crisis, since it suggests an immunity to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124023
In this paper we analyse the recent efforts of the international financial institutions to limit the moral hazard created by their assistance to crisis countries. We question the wisdom of the case-by-case approach taken in Pakistan, Ecuador, Romania and Ukraine. We show that because default and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124195
more ‘extractive’ institutions from their colonial past were more likely to experience high volatility and economic crises … years ago are much more volatile and prone to crises. Based on our previous work, we interpret this relationship as due to … appear to have only a minor impact on volatility and crises. This suggests that distortionary macroeconomic policies are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136626
We estimate ex post returns to emerging market debt by combining secondary-market prices with observed flows based on World Bank data. From 1970–2000, returns averaged 9% per annum, about the same as returns on a ten-year US treasury bond. This reflects the combined effect of the 1980s debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067551
We show that in democracies insufficient recognition of general equilibrium effects can lead to a crisis. We consider a two-sector economy in which a majoritarian political process determines governmental regulation in one sector: a minimum nominal wage. If voters recognize general equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504724