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empirical evidence supporting the view that innovation in consumer credit and home mortgages reduced cyclical variations of key … economic variables. We find that especially the behaviour of aggregate home mortgages changed less during the great moderation … than is typically believed. For example, aggregate home mortgages declined during monetary tightenings, both before and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008477177
A reduction in inflation can fuel run-ups in housing prices if people suffer from money illusion. For example, investors who decide whether to rent or buy a house by simply comparing monthly rent and mortgage payments do not take into account that inflation lowers future real mortgage costs. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067397
Debt-induced crises, including the subprime crisis, are usually attributed exclusively to supply-side factors. We examine the role of social influences on debt culture, emanating from perceived average income of peers. Utilizing unique information from a household survey, representative of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084156
reform in Italy that reduced penalties on outstanding mortgages and banned penalties on newly-issued mortgages. Using a … unique dataset of mortgages issued by a large Italian lender before and after the reform, we provide evidence that: 1) before … the reform, mortgages issued to riskier borrowers included larger penalties; 2) higher prepayment penalties decreased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011207398
competing lenders. Finally, increased ability to securitize mortgages appears to have affected lender behaviour, with lending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666586
, and mortgages among households aged fifty or more in thirteen countries, using new and comparable survey data. We employ … smaller ones in homes, and to have larger mortgages in older age, even controlling for characteristics. This is consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642873
We propose a new theory of systemic risk based on Knightian uncertainty (or "ambiguity"). We show that, due to uncertainty aversion, beliefs on future asset returns are endogenous, and bad news on one asset class induces investors to be more pessimistic about other asset classes as well. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213303
Similarities between the Great Depression and the Great Recession are documented with respect to the behavior of financial markets. A Great Depression regime is identified by using a Markov-switching VAR. The probability of this regime has remained close to zero for many decades, but spiked for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213314
This paper studies the role of credit in the business cycle, with a focus on private credit overhang. Based on a study of the universe of over 200 recession episodes in 14 advanced countries between 1870 and 2008, we document two key facts of the modern business cycle: financial-crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365001
We show that financial sector bailouts and sovereign credit risk are intimately linked. A bailout benefits the economy by ameliorating the under-investment problem of the financial sector. However, increasing taxation of the non-financial sector to fund the bailout may be inefficient since it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365002