Showing 1 - 10 of 1,133
In this Paper we present a model that combines the second-generation trade-off between costs of maintenance and abandonment with possible balance-sheet problems in the corporate sector. We show how debt levels can move a small economy from a fixed exchange rate to a floating exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504385
This paper investigates the empirical link between fiscal vulnerabilities and currency crashes in advanced economies over the last 130 years, building on a new dataset of real effective exchange rates and fiscal balances for 21 countries since 1880. We find evidence that crashes depend more on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324258
Is there a link between loose monetary conditions, credit growth, house price booms, and financial instability? This paper analyzes the role of interest rates and credit in driving house price booms and busts with data spanning 140 years of modern economic history in the advanced economies. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145419
This paper unveils a new resource for macroeconomic research: a long-run dataset covering disaggregated bank credit for 17 advanced economies since 1870. The new data show that the share of mortgages on banks’ balance sheets doubled in the course of the 20th century, driven by a sharp rise of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083232
employment. The unemployment rate rises an average of 7 percentage points over the down phase of the cycle, which lasts on … shorter than for unemployment. The real value of government debt tends to explode, rising an average of 86 percent in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124095
The rapid growth of international reserves|a development concentrated in the emerging markets|remains a puzzle. In this paper we suggest that a model based on financial stability and financial openness goes far toward explaining reserve holdings in the modern era of globalized capital markets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661901
credit constraint might help both unemployment and wages. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084561
This paper develops a theory characterizing the effects of fiscal policy on unemployment over the business cycle. The … theory is based on a model of equilibrium unemployment in which jobs are rationed in recessions. Fiscal policy in the form of … government spending on public-sector jobs reduces unemployment, especially during recessions: the fiscal multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324257
A new methodology is described which tests between various equilibrium theories of unemployment using matching data … identify a matching process using data which is recorded monthly, and also shows how to identify different unemployment … those vacancies come onto the market. In particular, these workers’ experience average durations of unemployment which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123575
mandated unemployment insurance (UI) and employment protection (EP). To illuminate the forces in these models, we study how UI … higher layoff taxes suppress frictional unemployment in less turbulent times, prevails in the models with labour market … impossible to include generous government-supplied unemployment insurance in that model without getting the unrealistic result …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123618