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We develop a tactical asset allocation strategy that incorporates the effects of macroeconomic variables. The joint distribution of financial asset returns and the macroeconomic variables is modelled using a VAR with an M-GARCH error structure. As a result the portfolio frontier is time varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124166
This paper studies technological change in renewable energies, providing empirical evidence on the determinants of innovative activity with a special emphasis on the role of knowledge spillovers. We investigate two major renewable energy technologies wind and solar across a panel of 21 OECD...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468596
Ratios that indicate the statistical significance of a fund’s alpha typically appraise its performance. A growing literature suggests that even in the absence of any ability to predict returns, holding options positions on the benchmark assets or trading frequently can significantly enhance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468707
weights, one needs to estimate for each stock its volatility, correlations with all other stocks, and expected return. Our … contained in the volatility risk premium and option-implied skewness increases substantially Sharpe ratios and certainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008530360
Portfolio choice and the implied asset pricing are usually derived assuming maximization of expected utility. In this Paper, they are derived from risk-value models that generalize the Markowitz-model. We use a behaviourally based risk measure with an endogenous or exogenous benchmark. If the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136483
, and volatility risks, its performance presents a challenge to asset pricing models. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083673
Black/Scholes constant volatility assumption is violated in practice. These authors hypothesize that the volatility of the … underlying asset’s return is a deterministic function of the asset price and time, and develop the deterministic volatility … 1993, we evaluate the economic significance of the implied deterministic volatility function by examining the predictive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498195
We study the effect of introducing a new security, such as a non-redundant derivative, on the volatility of stock … increases the volatility of stock-market returns. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114422
forward premia on monthly exchange rate returns in a framework that allows for volatility timing. We implement Bayesian … stochastic volatility innovations; and (ii) strategies based on combined forecasts yield large economic gains over the random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123849
volatility of state output growth, rather than in its average. The realized industry shares of output also converge faster to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504526