Showing 1 - 10 of 48
This paper studies the generation and the transmission of international business cycles in a multi-country model with production and consumption interdependencies. Two sources of disturbances are considered and three channels for propagation of shocks are compared. Simulations are performed for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666585
The paper provides an account of the current global economic situation, outlook and policy options. Medium-term prospects are mediocre and fraught with considerable downside risk. Fiscal and monetary policy options for the main industrial countries to improve global economic performance are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791563
members. We show that whenever it is possible to estimate a model for interdependence, a test for contagion based o a full … of interdependence. Using data on three-month interest rate spreads on German rates for seven countries over the period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123753
stock market. We conduct our analysis by explicitly considering the distinction between interdependence and contagion. By … there long-term interdependence between the US and Europe, i.e. does the equilibrium for European shares depend on the … equilibrium for US shares? Is there short-term interdependence and contagion between US and European stock markets, i.e. do short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067572
It is shown that, when there is a genuine long-run trade-off between inflation and output, coordination under pre-commitment yields substantial improvements in economic welfare. The analysis is conducted within the context of a two-country model with capital accumulation, immobile labour,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504714
function is a natural property for capturing a preference for greater interdependence. One multivariate distribution dominates … sequence of elementary, bivariate, interdependence-increasing transformations, and develop methods for determining whether such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083601
simplified models of hypothetical economies, and has therefore failed to clarify the implications of interdependence for policy … the importance of spillover effects in policy design. The results indicate that interdependence has strong but asymmetric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656442
This paper explores to what extent the magnitude and speed of the contagion effects that materialized in East Asia in the second half of 1997 may have had "real" underpinnings, in the sense that the pattern of production, consumption and trade increased the vulnerability of East Asian countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661909
Previous empirical studies have found the gains from international policy coordination to be small relative to the imprecision with which policy can be framed. This paper investigates whether there are larger gains to strategic behavior (interpreted as Nash noncooperative equilibria), as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661924
The paper analyzes the integration of euro area sovereign bond markets during the European sovereign debt crisis. It …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276387