Showing 1 - 9 of 9
This paper examines the relationship between fiscal policy and the current account, drawing on a larger country sample than in previous studies and using panel regressions, vector auto-regressions, and an analysis of large fiscal and external adjustments. On average, a strengthening in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468562
This paper describes how we constructed a real-time database for the euro area covering more than 200 series regularly published in the European Central Bank Monthly Bulletin, as made available ahead of publication to the Governing Council members before their first meeting of the month. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468678
The term now-casting is a contraction for now and forecasting and has been used for a long-time in meteorology and recently also in economics In this paper we survey recent developments on economic now-casting with special focus on those models that formalize key features of how market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084671
In this paper, we study the impact of transnational terrorism diffusion on security and trade. We set up a simple … trade. The idea is that security measures, which impede trade, are directed both against the source country of terror and … could benefit from an increase in security by trading more. Taken to the test, we empirically document these predictions. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008466352
Security threats have moved neighbouring countries to form regional integration arrangements (RIAs), including the … that an RIA – together with domestic taxes – is an optimal response to security concerns among neighbouring countries. It …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666912
In this paper, we offer a general analytical framework to illustrate the complex two-way interactions between trade and transnational terrorism. We then survey the recent economic literature in light of this framework by pointing to the importance in empirical studies a) to control appropriately...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791356
and consumption go down as well. Governments can offset terror by putting tax revenues into the production of security …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504271
We examine a stark setting in which security or protection can be provided by self-governing groups of by for …-term viability. Typically, in providing security the stable market structure involves competing lords, a condition that leads to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504400
What is the impact of terrorism on trade through higher security at the borders? We set up a theory which shows that … terrorism acts and make security measures more costly for total welfare. In order to identify the true impact of terrorism, our … current security measures at the borders. Our tests suggest that terrorist incidents have a small effect on US imports on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504633