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Do Giant Oilfield Discoveries Fuel Internal Armed Conflicts?
Lei, Yu-Hsiang; Michaels, Guy - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011
discoveries increase per capita oil production and oil exports by up to 50 percent. But these giant oilfield discoveries also have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009351523
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The Geography of Inter-State Resource Wars
Caselli, Francesco; Morelli, Massimo; Rohner, Dominic - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2013
analysis shows that the presence and location of oil are significant and quantitatively important predictors of inter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083646
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Do Oil Windfalls Improve Living Standards? Evidence from Brazil
Caselli, Francesco; Michaels, Guy - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2009
We use variation in oil output among Brazilian municipalities to investigate the effects of resource windfalls. We find … muted effects of oil through market channels: offshore oil has no effect on municipal non-oil GDP or its composition, while … onshore oil has only modest effects on non-oil GDP composition. However, oil abundance causes municipal revenues and reported …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008509470
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On the Theory of Ethnic Conflict
Caselli, Francesco; Coleman II, Wilbur John - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2006
We present a theory of ethnic conflict in which coalitions formed along ethnic lines compete for the economy's resources. The role of ethnicity is to enforce coalition membership: in ethnically homogeneous societies members of the losing coalition can defect to the winners at low cost, and this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791398
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Weapons of Choice
Dreher, Axel; Kreibaum, Merle - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2014
becoming terrorists when representing regions rich in oil. Groups that participate in exerting power over their region are less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084444
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Rural Windfall or a New Resource Curse? Coca, Income and Civil Conflict in Colombia
Angrist, Joshua; Kugler, Adriana D. - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2005
Natural and agricultural resources for which there is a substantial black market, such as coca, opium, and diamonds, appear especially likely to be exploited by the parties to a civil conflict. On the other hand, these resources may also provide one of the few reliable sources of income in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124245
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This mine is mine! How minerals fuel conflicts in Africa
Berman, Nicolas; Couttenier, Mathieu; Rohner, Dominic; … - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2014
This paper studies empirically the impact of mining on conflicts in Africa. Using novel data, we combine geo-referenced information over the 1997-2010 period on the location and characteristics of violent events and mining extraction of 27 minerals. Working with a grid covering all African...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084702
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The Incidence of Civil War: Theory and Evidence
Besley, Timothy J.; Persson, Torsten - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2008
This paper studies the incidence of civil war over time. We put forward a canonical model of civil war, which relates the incidence of conflict to circumstances, institutions and features of the underlying economy and polity. We use this model to derive testable predictions and to interpret the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661970
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The Elephant in the Ground: Managing Oil and Sovereign Wealth
Van Den Bremer, Ton; van der Ploeg, Frederick; Wills, Samuel - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2014
Oil exporters typically do not consider below-ground assets when allocating their sovereign wealth fund portfolios, and … ignore above-ground assets when extracting oil. We present a unified framework for considering both. Subsoil oil should alter … any unhedged volatility must be managed by precautionary savings. If oil prices are pro-cyclical, oil should be extracted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084308
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Ruggedness: The Blessing of Bad Geography in Africa
Nunn, Nathan; Puga, Diego - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2007
There is controversy about whether geography matters mainly because of its contemporaneous impact on economic outcomes or because of its interaction with historical events. Looking at terrain ruggedness, we are able to estimate the importance of these two channels. Because rugged terrain hinders...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136410