Juvenal, Luciana; Petrella, Ivan - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2014
: (i) While global demand shocks account for the largest share of oil price fluctuations, speculative shocks are the second … demand. However, speculation played a significant role in the oil price increase between 2004 and 2008, and its subsequent … collapse. (iii) The comovement between oil prices and the prices of other commodities is mainly explained by global demand …